NeoTriFuse Predicts Neonatal Mortality with Reliability-Aware Multimodal Fusion

Jiyuan Tian, Qincheng Shen, Ye Lin, Yu Gao, Haohui Lu· August 28, 2026 View original

Key takeaways

  • NeoTriFuse improves neonatal mortality risk prediction using multimodal data.
  • It explicitly models data missingness as a reliability signal for fusion.
  • The framework integrates static, temporal, and statistical patient data.
  • It achieves competitive performance even with heterogeneous missingness.

Who benefits

HealthcareMedTechPharmaceuticalsPublic Health

Summary

NeoTriFuse is a new reliability-aware multimodal fusion framework designed for neonatal mortality risk prediction, specifically addressing challenges like extreme class imbalance and substantial missingness in bedside monitoring data. It dynamically modulates modality contributions based on missingness as an explicit reliability signal, achieving competitive predictive performance.

Predicting neonatal mortality risk from bedside monitoring data is a complex challenge in healthcare. This difficulty stems from several factors, including extreme class imbalance, the presence of diverse clinical risk factors, multi-scale temporal dynamics in the data, and crucially, significant amounts of missing data, which are common in real-world clinical settings.To address these issues, researchers propose NeoTriFuse, a novel reliability-aware multimodal fusion framework. Unlike conventional approaches that treat missingness merely as a preprocessing step, NeoTriFuse explicitly models missingness as a signal of data reliability. This signal then dynamically adjusts the contribution of different data modalities during the fusion process.The framework integrates static perinatal variables, local-global temporal encoders, and patient-level statistical summaries through these reliability-guided gating mechanisms. It jointly optimizes for mortality prediction and an auxiliary length-of-stay objective. NeoTriFuse demonstrated competitive performance, with strong F1 and AUROC scores. Ablation studies confirmed that the temporal architecture and patient-level summaries were key contributors, with reliability-aware gating further enhancing performance, especially for metrics sensitive to observation completeness.

Why it matters

Healthcare professionals and researchers can leverage NeoTriFuse to develop more accurate and robust predictive models for neonatal mortality, potentially leading to earlier interventions and improved patient outcomes, even with imperfect clinical data.

How to implement this in your domain

  1. 1Evaluate existing neonatal mortality prediction models for robustness to missing data.
  2. 2Explore integrating reliability-aware multimodal fusion techniques like NeoTriFuse.
  3. 3Develop strategies to explicitly model data missingness as a reliability signal.
  4. 4Collaborate with clinical experts to validate and deploy such predictive tools.

Original post by Jiyuan Tian, Qincheng Shen, Ye Lin, Yu Gao, Haohui Lu

"arXiv:2608.26436v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Neonatal mortality risk prediction from bedside monitoring data remains challenging due to extreme class imbalance, heterogeneous clinical risk factors, multi-scale temporal dynamics, and substantial missingness. We propose NeoTriFu…"

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Originally posted by Jiyuan Tian, Qincheng Shen, Ye Lin, Yu Gao, Haohui Lu on X · view source

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