New Hypergraph Network Boosts Next Activity Prediction in Complex Processes

Jiaxing Wang, Kaitao Chen, Zhubin Han, Chenyu Hou, Bin Cao, Jing Fan, Ji Zhang· July 3, 2026 View original

Summary

Researchers developed EHHN, an Event-driven Heterogeneous Hypergraph Network, to significantly improve next activity prediction in service-oriented processes involving multiple interacting business objects. It outperforms existing methods by jointly capturing event-driven object state changes, inter-event timing, and global execution patterns.

Predicting the next activity in complex service-oriented processes is crucial for preventing delays and managing risks. Current methods often struggle with object-centric event logs (OCELs), which represent events shared by multiple business objects, leading to a loss of cross-object context or inefficient encoding of multi-object interactions. This paper introduces EHHN, an Event-driven Heterogeneous Hypergraph Network, designed to overcome these limitations. EHHN models each prediction prefix as a heterogeneous hypergraph, effectively binding co-participating objects and grouping primary object lifecycle events. Its dual-stream architecture processes both micro-spatial event-driven object state evolution and macro-evolution temporal dynamics using global prototypes. This integrated approach allows EHHN to achieve superior accuracy and F1-scores on four public OCEL benchmarks, outperforming nine baselines by up to 8.1 and 12.4 percentage points. Furthermore, EHHN significantly reduces peak GPU memory usage, demonstrating its efficiency. The code is publicly available.

Why it matters

Professionals in process management, operations, and business intelligence can use this advanced prediction model to gain deeper insights into complex workflows, anticipate future steps, and proactively address potential issues, leading to improved operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.

How to implement this in your domain

  1. 1Download and experiment with the EHHN code on internal object-centric event logs to validate its performance for specific business processes.
  2. 2Integrate EHHN into existing business process management (BPM) or workflow automation systems to enable proactive activity prediction.
  3. 3Develop dashboards and alerts based on EHHN's predictions to provide real-time insights to operations teams.
  4. 4Collaborate with data scientists to customize and fine-tune the EHHN model for unique organizational process characteristics.

Who benefits

LogisticsManufacturingHealthcareBFSIIT Services

Key takeaways

  • EHHN significantly improves next activity prediction in object-centric processes.
  • It uses a novel hypergraph representation to capture complex event-object interactions.
  • The dual-stream architecture models both micro and macro temporal dynamics.
  • EHHN offers superior accuracy and reduced memory footprint compared to baselines.

Original post by Jiaxing Wang, Kaitao Chen, Zhubin Han, Chenyu Hou, Bin Cao, Jing Fan, Ji Zhang

"arXiv:2607.01785v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Next activity prediction helps service-oriented processes anticipate upcoming steps before delays, exceptions, or service-level risks occur. Most existing methods assume classical single-case event logs, whereas real service process…"

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Originally posted by Jiaxing Wang, Kaitao Chen, Zhubin Han, Chenyu Hou, Bin Cao, Jing Fan, Ji Zhang on X · view source

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