Physics-Inspired Attribution for Cyber-Physical IoT Systems.

Spyridon Evangelatos, Christos Diou, Georgios Th. Papadopoulos, Evangelos Markakis, Panagiotis Sarigiannidis· July 8, 2026 View original

Summary

A novel framework, inspired by statistical mechanics, provides dependency-aware attribution for cyber-physical IoT systems by modeling variable dependencies through an undirected, energy-based representation. It offers robust, scalable explanations of abnormal behaviors without requiring an explicit directed causal graph.

This paper introduces a novel framework for interpretable AI, drawing inspiration from statistical mechanics, to provide structural attribution for complex cyber-physical IoT systems. Unlike traditional explainability methods that focus on correlations or causal methods requiring explicit directed graphs, this approach models variable dependencies using an undirected, energy-based representation. This is particularly valuable in large-scale, hybrid systems where recovering a full directed causal structure is often impractical due to feedback loops and partial observability. The framework enables rigorous, dependency-aware attribution by analyzing how changes in the system's energy landscape reflect the influence of individual components. It also supports reasoning about perturbation effects across both continuous and discrete interactions within hybrid systems, offering reliable explanations for abnormal behaviors. This method avoids the need to recover a directed causal graph, simplifying the explanation process for intricate systems. Empirical evaluations on an industrial IoT testbed, involving hybrid continuous and discrete variables, demonstrated that the proposed framework achieves higher attribution accuracy, improved robustness, and better scalability compared to state-of-the-art graph-based approaches. While not intended to fully reconstruct the system's generative dynamics, these dependency-aware explanations are highly valuable for human interpretation and for enhancing downstream predictive and diagnostic tasks, with applications extending beyond industrial IoT security to other high-dimensional cyber-physical and socio-technical systems.

Why it matters

Professionals managing complex IoT systems, critical infrastructure, or cyber-physical environments can gain deeper, more robust insights into system behavior and anomalies, improving diagnostics, security, and operational resilience without needing full causal graphs.

How to implement this in your domain

  1. 1Evaluate the framework's applicability to your organization's cyber-physical IoT systems for enhanced anomaly detection and root cause analysis.
  2. 2Pilot the energy-based attribution method on a subset of your industrial IoT data to compare its explanatory power against existing methods.
  3. 3Integrate the dependency-aware explanations into your security operations center (SOC) or network operations center (NOC) workflows for faster incident response.
  4. 4Collaborate with AI researchers to adapt and scale this framework for your specific high-dimensional socio-technical systems.

Who benefits

Industrial IoTCybersecurityCritical InfrastructureSmart ManufacturingEnergy

Key takeaways

  • A physics-inspired framework offers structural attribution for cyber-physical IoT systems.
  • It models dependencies via an energy-based representation, avoiding explicit causal graphs.
  • The method provides robust explanations for abnormal behaviors and perturbation effects.
  • It shows higher accuracy, robustness, and scalability than graph-based approaches.

Original post by Spyridon Evangelatos, Christos Diou, Georgios Th. Papadopoulos, Evangelos Markakis, Panagiotis Sarigiannidis

"arXiv:2607.05563v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Interpretable explanation methods in Artificial Intelligence aim to uncover the underlying causes and their effects, enabling a deeper understanding of why a system behaves in a certain way under different inputs. Unlike traditional…"

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Originally posted by Spyridon Evangelatos, Christos Diou, Georgios Th. Papadopoulos, Evangelos Markakis, Panagiotis Sarigiannidis on X · view source

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