DDF-LSTM Model for Efficient Reliability Analysis

Yixin Zhang, Mingyang Li, Zichao Jiang· July 22, 2026 View original

Summary

This paper proposes a Dual-domain Fused Long Short-Term Memory (DDF-LSTM) model for accurate and efficient time-dependent reliability analysis of engineering systems. The model effectively integrates both time-dependent stochastic processes and time-independent random variables, improving failure probability estimation.

Ensuring the long-term safety and performance of engineering systems under various uncertainties requires robust time-dependent reliability analysis. Traditional methods often struggle to effectively combine time-independent random variables with time-dependent stochastic processes, leading to limitations in capturing their complex interactions. This gap can hinder accurate predictions of system reliability over time. To overcome these challenges, researchers have developed the Dual-domain Fused Long Short-Term Memory (DDF-LSTM) model. This novel network architecture is designed to jointly process information from both time-dependent and time-independent domains. It embeds time-independent variables into the initial hidden states of the LSTM and uses a fully connected layer to map both LSTM outputs and time-independent variables to the final output. Furthermore, the DDF-LSTM model incorporates an improved loss function that prioritizes sensitivity to minimum responses, thereby enhancing the precision of failure probability estimations. Once trained, the model allows for efficient Monte Carlo simulations, significantly reducing the computational cost of estimating time-dependent failure probabilities. Case studies validate its superior computational efficiency and predictive accuracy.

Why it matters

Engineers and product developers in industries dealing with complex systems need accurate and efficient methods to predict long-term reliability and prevent failures. This model offers a way to improve safety and performance while reducing computational costs.

How to implement this in your domain

  1. 1Evaluate the DDF-LSTM model for reliability analysis in your engineering design and simulation workflows.
  2. 2Integrate the DDF-LSTM approach into existing predictive maintenance or system health monitoring platforms.
  3. 3Develop custom loss functions that emphasize critical failure modes in your specific reliability analysis applications.
  4. 4Explore using DDF-LSTM for real-time risk assessment in operational systems.

Who benefits

ManufacturingAerospaceAutomotiveEnergyCivil Engineering

Key takeaways

  • Time-dependent reliability analysis is crucial for long-term system safety.
  • DDF-LSTM integrates time-dependent and time-independent variables for better analysis.
  • A novel network architecture and improved loss function enhance failure probability estimation.
  • The model enables efficient Monte Carlo simulations with high accuracy.

Original post by Yixin Zhang, Mingyang Li, Zichao Jiang

"arXiv:2607.18291v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time-dependent reliability analysis is crucial for ensuring the long-term safety and performance of engineering systems under uncertainties. However, traditional surrogate model methods often struggle to incorporate time-independent…"

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Originally posted by Yixin Zhang, Mingyang Li, Zichao Jiang on X · view source

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