New Benchmark Reveals LLM Agents Lack Long-Term E-commerce Coherence

Qiming Shi, Yulong Tao, Linbo Jin, Zhaolu Kang, Yibo Dou, Jiawen Zhu, Tianjun Pan, Shaokang Fu, Chengyu Wang, Siyue Li, Yaping Cheng, Di Weng, Chengfu Huo· August 3, 2026 View original

Key takeaways

  • Current LLM agents lack "Long-Term Coherence" for complex, extended operational tasks.
  • MerchantBench is a new e-commerce simulation designed to evaluate this long-term coherence.
  • LLM agents significantly underperform humans in simulated e-commerce operations, achieving only a fraction of human profitability.
  • Real-world deployments require agents to adapt decisions based on accumulated evidence and handle delayed feedback.

Who benefits

E-commerceRetailSupply Chain ManagementLogisticsFinancial Services

Summary

Researchers introduce MerchantBench, a 365-day e-commerce simulation benchmark, to evaluate LLM agents' long-term coherence in tasks like product sourcing and pricing. The study found a substantial performance gap between LLM agents and human participants, with the best LLM achieving only 27.3% of human net assets.

While Large Language Model (LLM) agents are increasingly evaluated for their ability to use tools and complete bounded tasks, real-world applications often demand "Long-Term Coherence"—the capacity to maintain purposeful behavior over extended periods and adapt decisions based on accumulated evidence. To address this gap, a new benchmark called MerchantBench has been developed, focusing on seller-side e-commerce operations. MerchantBench is a 365-day, order-level simulation built upon nearly 100,000 real e-commerce product records. It provides a persistent environment where agent actions have future consequences, feedback arrives with varying delays, and incoherent behavior leads to measurable cumulative effects. The simulation covers critical e-commerce decisions such as product sourcing, listing and pricing control, cash-flow management, and adapting to mixed-latency feedback. The study evaluated eight different LLMs using two agent frameworks across 48 simulated runs. The results revealed a significant performance disparity between even the most advanced LLMs and human participants. The top-performing LLM configuration managed to achieve only 27.3% of the mean final net assets generated by human players, highlighting that current LLM agents still have substantial limitations in tasks requiring sustained strategic coherence and adaptive decision-making over long horizons.

Why it matters

This benchmark provides a crucial tool for evaluating and improving LLM agents in complex, real-world business scenarios, particularly in e-commerce. Professionals can use these insights to understand current AI limitations and guide development towards more strategically capable autonomous systems.

How to implement this in your domain

  1. 1Utilize benchmarks like MerchantBench to rigorously assess the long-term strategic capabilities of your LLM agents.
  2. 2Prioritize research and development into agent architectures that can maintain coherence and adapt decisions over extended operational periods.
  3. 3Design agent training environments that simulate real-world complexities, including delayed feedback and interdependent decisions.
  4. 4Integrate human-in-the-loop mechanisms for critical e-commerce operations where LLM agents currently underperform.
  5. 5Set realistic expectations for autonomous LLM agent performance in long-horizon, high-stakes business environments.

Original post by Qiming Shi, Yulong Tao, Linbo Jin, Zhaolu Kang, Yibo Dou, Jiawen Zhu, Tianjun Pan, Shaokang Fu, Chengyu Wang, Siyue Li, Yaping Cheng, Di Weng, Chengfu Huo

"arXiv:2607.28956v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language model agents are increasingly evaluated as autonomous tool users, yet most benchmarks focus on bounded tasks with immediate success criteria. Real-world deployments often require Long-Term Coherence, the capacity to p…"

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Originally posted by Qiming Shi, Yulong Tao, Linbo Jin, Zhaolu Kang, Yibo Dou, Jiawen Zhu, Tianjun Pan, Shaokang Fu, Chengyu Wang, Siyue Li, Yaping Cheng, Di Weng, Chengfu Huo on X · view source

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