LLMs Struggle with Indeterminate Preference Reasoning.

Hadi Hosseini, Samarth Khanna, Xiyuan Wang· August 20, 2026 View original

Key takeaways

  • LLMs struggle with preference reasoning when information is incomplete or solutions don't exist.
  • Indeterminacy is a core challenge for AI decision-making, distinct from correctness.
  • State-of-the-art LLMs exhibit miscalibrated reasoning in indeterminate preference tasks.
  • Developers must account for these limitations in real-world AI applications.

Who benefits

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Summary

Research shows that state-of-the-art large language models systematically fail to distinguish between determined and undetermined instances when reasoning over preferences, exhibiting miscalibrated reasoning even in verification tasks. This highlights indeterminacy as a core challenge for AI decision-making.

As large language models (LLMs) increasingly take on decision-making roles, their ability to reason about preferences becomes crucial for alignment, coordination, and collective intelligence. However, unlike many standard benchmarks that assume clear-cut solutions, real-world preference reasoning often involves indeterminacy, where information is incomplete or valid solutions simply do not exist. This inherent ambiguity poses a significant challenge for AI. Researchers formalized this challenge along two dimensions: epistemic indeterminacy, which arises from incomplete or partial preferences, and structural indeterminacy, which occurs when standard social choice concepts yield no solutions. Across a range of tasks, the study found that even state-of-the-art LLMs consistently struggle to differentiate between situations where a clear preference can be determined and those where it cannot. This systematic failure results in miscalibrated reasoning, even when the models are asked to verify existing solutions. The findings suggest that current LLMs lack a robust understanding of when a definitive answer is possible versus when the problem itself is ill-defined or lacks a unique solution, underscoring indeterminacy as a fundamental hurdle for advanced AI reasoning.

Why it matters

Professionals developing or deploying LLMs for decision-making, negotiation, or policy-making must be aware of their limitations in handling indeterminate preferences, as this can lead to flawed or overconfident conclusions in complex real-world scenarios.

How to implement this in your domain

  1. 1Identify decision-making applications where LLMs are used to process or generate preferences, especially in scenarios with incomplete information.
  2. 2Implement explicit checks or human-in-the-loop processes to validate LLM outputs in situations prone to preference indeterminacy.
  3. 3Develop training methodologies that expose LLMs to indeterminate preference scenarios and reward explicit recognition of ambiguity.
  4. 4Design LLM prompts to encourage models to express confidence levels or identify missing information when reasoning about preferences.
  5. 5Educate stakeholders on the inherent limitations of LLMs in handling complex, indeterminate preference reasoning tasks.

Original post by Hadi Hosseini, Samarth Khanna, Xiyuan Wang

"arXiv:2608.18631v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: As large language models evolve into decision-making agents, the ability to reason over preferences becomes fundamental to alignment, coordination, and collective intelligence. Yet, unlike standard benchmarks, real-world preference…"

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Originally posted by Hadi Hosseini, Samarth Khanna, Xiyuan Wang on X · view source

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